1. 常州市中医医院
2. 常州市第二人民医院
3. 南京金陵科技学院
4. 江苏省中医药发展研究中心
5. 常州市第三人民医院
6. 南京中医药大学
7. 东南大学公共卫生学院
纸质出版:2021
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[1]陆炜青,钱刘兰,翟洪军,黄亚博,王一,林杰,程逸文,沈春锋,黄晓珊,庄鑫,陈启光,申春悌.基于潜在类别分析的新型冠状病毒肺炎患者中医证候分类研究[J].中医杂志,2021,62(04):296-302.
LU Weiqing, QIAN Liulan, ZHAI Hongjun, et al. Latent Class Analysis of Traditional Chinese Medicine Syndromes in Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019[J]. Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine2021, 62(4): 296-302.
[1]陆炜青,钱刘兰,翟洪军,黄亚博,王一,林杰,程逸文,沈春锋,黄晓珊,庄鑫,陈启光,申春悌.基于潜在类别分析的新型冠状病毒肺炎患者中医证候分类研究[J].中医杂志,2021,62(04):296-302. DOI: 10.13288/j.11-2166/r.2021.04.006.
LU Weiqing, QIAN Liulan, ZHAI Hongjun, et al. Latent Class Analysis of Traditional Chinese Medicine Syndromes in Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019[J]. Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine2021, 62(4): 296-302. DOI: 10.13288/j.11-2166/r.2021.04.006.
目的基于潜在类别分析方法对新型冠状病毒肺炎(简称新冠肺炎)患者的中医初始症状及现症进行分类
探讨新冠肺炎的核心病机。方法采集2020年2-3月18家医院650例新冠肺炎患者的中医初始症状及中医现症
根据阳性率纳入相关指标
对纳入的中医临床症状的二分类信息进行潜在类别分析
识别其核心病机和中医证候诊断分类。具体分析过程包括概率参数化、参数估计与模型拟合、潜在分类与结果的中医理论解释。结果初始症状纳入分析的病例数为605例、症状指标23个
根据阳性率纳入初始症状指标17个
最终取3个类别的潜在类别模型。潜在类别1证候要素的病性为温(热)邪、痰湿和气虚
病位在肺;潜在类别2证候要素的病性为温(热)邪和气虚;潜在类别3证候要素的病性为温(热)邪、痰湿和气虚
病位为肺;综合分析
新冠肺炎发病时的主要证候要素病性为温(热)邪、痰湿、气虚
病位是卫表、肺。中医现症纳入分析的病例数为650例、症状指标55个
根据阳性率纳入现症指标43个
最终取4个类别的潜在类别模型。潜在类别1证候要素的病性为温(热)邪、湿邪、痰邪、气虚
病位主要在肺
分类命名为湿温(热)毒蕴、痰热郁肺;潜在类别2证候要素的病性为温(热)邪、湿邪、气虚
病位主要在脾
分类命名为湿温(热)毒蕴、脾失健运;潜在类别3证候要素的病性为湿邪、温(热)邪
病位主要在脾
分类命名为湿温(热)毒蕴、气阴两伤;潜在类别4证候要素的病性是温(热)邪、湿邪、气虚、阴虚
病位在脾、心
分类命名为湿温(热)毒蕴、心脾两虚。结论基于潜在类别分析方法
新冠肺炎发病初期的证候为湿温(热)毒袭卫表
继而犯肺
兼有肺气不足;其核心病机为湿温(热)毒蕴
兼见痰热郁肺、脾失健运、气阴两伤、心脾两虚。
Objective To analyze the initial symptoms and present traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) syndromes in patients with coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19) through latent class analysis(LCA)
and to explore the core pathogenesis. Methods The elements of initial symptoms and present TCM syndromes in 650 COVID-19 patients were collected from 18 hospitals between February and March
2020. Elements with high prevalence rate were included. The included elements as binary variables were analyzed to figure out the core pathogenesis of COVID-19 as well as TCM syndrome classification for diagnosis with LCA method. The specific analysis process included probability parameterization
parameter estimation and model fitting
latent class analysis
and interpretation of the results using TCM theory. Results Elements of initial TCM symptoms were collected in 605 patients with COVID-19; and 17 out of 23 initial symptoms were included for LCA model with 3 classes. Class 1 included the syndrome elements belonging to damp(heat) pathogen
phlegm-damp and qi deficiency
indicating that the disease location was at lung. The syndrome elements included in Class 2 showed that the nature of disease was warm(heat) pathogen and qi deficiency. Class 3 was composed of the syndrome elements of warm(heat) pathogen
phlegm damp and qi deficiency
and revealed that the disease location was at lung. In conclusion
the nature of initial COVID-19 was mainly warm(heat) pathogen
phlegm damp
and qi deficiency
and the location of disease was wei-exterior and lung. In terms of present syndromes of COVID-19 from 650 patients
43 out of 55 elements were included in LCA model with 4 classes. Class 1
named damp-warm(heat) toxin accumulation and phlegm-heat obstructing lung
included the elements of warm(heat) pathogen
damp pathogen
phlegm pathogen
and qi deficiency
and identified lung as the disease location. Class 2 included syndrome of damp-warm(heat) toxic accumulation and spleen failing to transport
of which the nature elements were warm(heat) pathogen
damp pathogen and qi deficiency
and the disease location was at lung. In Class 3
the elements related to the nature of disease were damp pathogen
and warm(heat) pathogen
and the disease location was at spleen
showing the syndrome of damp-warm(heat) toxic accumulation and qi-yin damage. Class 4 indicated the syndrome of damp-warm(heat) toxic accumulation and heart-spleen deficiency
as elements of warm(heat) pathogen
damp pathogen
qi deficiency and yin deficiency were included
and spleen and heart were mostly involved. Conclusion The initial syndrome of COVID-19 was damp-warm(heat) toxic attacking wei-exterior
and then the lungs were invaded
and lung-qi insufficiency was present; the core pathogenesis of COVID-19 was damp-warm(heat) toxin accumulation
complemented with phlegm-heat obstructing lung
spleen failing to transport
qi-yin damage
or heart-lung deficiency.
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